The EU is controlled and run by a kind of people much in evidence since the western welfare state matured and started eating itself. They are the kind of people who will never give up trying to keep control once they got it or trying to regain control after they lost it. Look at the Brexit trip from the time the referendum was first mooted. They tried every trick in the book to stop the British people deciding, and after it was decided did everything possible to stop it being effected.
At the moment the EU is re-organising its defences as the Tories had to give up sabotaging Brexit. It remains to be seen what Boris will make of it. Without continuous political pressure from Leavers and other democrats the result is likely to be some form of Brino.
The price of freedom is eternal vigilance. This is a lesson which, evidently, needs to be recognised and worked through time and again.
That is due to human nature, much like the innate need for some to emotionally, mentally, physically, socially, politically, etc. It was ever thus. The EU will evolve, but how and what it will turn into depends entirely on to how the incumbents, now being gradually replaced on purpose by new entrants from afar, wish to partake of the process of sociopolitical democracy.
Indeed, it depends on whether the incumbents will be motivated enough to be bothered at all. The voting patterns suggest no more than a third of the electorate which actually rolls up to vote is sufficiently exercised to want to force the relentless drive for domination by the old elites back into the age-old bog of their own making. Recently, the EU apparatchiks have changed their tune.
They are sweet-talking the British they previously abused to such a large extent for wanting a Brexit referendum and for wanting Brexit after the Leavers got the majority.
Search for:. Markus Gastinger December 11th, Will another country follow the UK out of the EU? This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Brexit blog, nor LSE. Share this: Click to share on WhatsApp Opens in new window. About the author Markus Gastinger. Posted In: European politics Featured. Let me speculate on reasons why Germany might in the next decade or so, leave the EU. Let me tackle them in turn. Read Next Et alors? Brexit leaves the French largely indifferent December 15th, Svexit or Huxit?
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Handling Country-Specific Issues. Lender of Last Resort. Inflation-Controlling Measures. Although the government is legally obliged to do so, it has failed to publish rulings in the past. Jacek Karnowski, editor-in-chief of the pro-government Sieci weekly, told the BBC that Polexit was "unimaginable and unrealistic", although he said the topic was now a matter of discussion. Poland, like the UK, was a proud independent nation, he said, but "much weaker, unhappily".
The PiS mainstream believed Poland must defend its sovereignty and not be treated as a second-class member, he said. He sees Brussels as the aggressor, overstepping its powers and inventing new tools to constrain Poland to roll back the reforms. Thursday's ruling was decided in some sense by the EU's position," he said. He says Warsaw is being offered a choice of either being a "legal colony" of Brussels or of leaving the EU.
You may also be interested in:. Image source, Getty Images. Free trade: Trade between two countries, where neither side charges taxes or duties on goods crossing borders. Level playing field: A set of rules to ensure that one country, or group of countries, doesn't have an unfair advantage over another. This can involve areas such as workers' rights and environmental standards.
Free trade agreements like the Brexit deal often include level playing field measures. Tariff: A tax or duty to be paid on goods crossing borders. What is the Brexit transition period? How many trade deals has the UK done? I thought the UK had already left the EU? So what changes on 1 January? What's in the Brexit deal? Image source, Reuters.
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